Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T05:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 05:35 UTC
Open price
$1,664.44
Close price
$1,664.39

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1664.440000 and closed at 1664.390000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 13 · 05:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 05:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 04:30 ↑ 04:45 ↓ 05:00 ↓ 05:15 ↓ — now 05:30 ↑ 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↓ 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T05:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 05:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
05:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.477 +2.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgTR69w5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.84%
Down 51.16%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000109 sigma=0.001161 score=-0.4091 p_up=0.4884

Commitment hash
c3ebc7271e0d6560215709bc0f3920ffd4e9922f1bab61057131702492fcd81a
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
05:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.487 +1.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHkmroy18Alen
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.36%
Down 50.64%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.4091 edge=-0.0116 sigma_short=0.001079 sigma_long=0.001061 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4936

Commitment hash
a4ce6e4573759f5ed0c496814723a1f04fdbab727b0cf55e4ecb090d08ceba71
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
05:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.552 -5.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HkYaD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.52%
Down 47.48%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1667.7970 sigma=2.7021 z=-1.2165 p_up=0.5252

Commitment hash
e441d2b53fbc5f31afacdf52e20b5a9fcb7f66625fbfb7afd35978bdf3647681