Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T05:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 06:05 UTC
Open price
$1,664.49
Close price
$1,665.22

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1664.490000 and closed at 1665.220000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 05:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 05:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 06:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 05:00 ↓ 05:15 ↓ 05:30 ↑ 05:45 ↑ — now 06:00 ↓ 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↑ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 06:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T05:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 06:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
05:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.453 +4.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7iaZPoE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.38%
Down 47.62%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1667.5080 sigma=2.8804 z=-1.0825 p_up=0.5238

Commitment hash
b9a0bae9cd9ce9a5bf9844abc8a7b72ccb06ad4cd4acc10a190cfb586bf1bbfe
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
05:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.510 -1.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0t1qBDWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.51%
Down 50.49%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.3046 edge=-0.0089 sigma_short=0.000963 sigma_long=0.001035 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4951

Commitment hash
dd622d3abab26cd2d2a9114260d49f03c53ccc483dda1da623e197bb424c1290
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
05:35:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.518 -1.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCXEvoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.11%
Down 50.89%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000080 sigma=0.001149 score=-0.3046 p_up=0.4911

Commitment hash
a3c6f0b27aed3aefafae1a2f92e7ccdc0e42b8901bf38c7f322ad8c97dfc8531