Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T06:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 06:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 06:50 UTC
Open price
$1,666.78
Close price
$1,667.09

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1666.780000 and closed at 1667.090000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 13 · 06:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 06:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 06:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↓ 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↑ — now 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 06:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T06:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 06:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
06:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.461 +3.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgC1QQV4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 06:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 06:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.01%
Down 47.99%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1667.0620 sigma=3.0215 z=-0.8115 p_up=0.5201

Commitment hash
de58865d6021fa1eb9a90bcfa6be513a0eea8fca0e286a1eb8249b24614d5f13
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
06:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.513 -1.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFEOXw5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 06:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 06:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.34%
Down 50.66%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.4236 edge=-0.0120 sigma_short=0.000787 sigma_long=0.000989 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4934

Commitment hash
40004ff2ea52e8eb40146cfe82a641f2d22f0d1c7c3874ae9f1d8c7f465685ce
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
06:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.524 -2.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHkdroy18Alen
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 06:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 06:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.8%
Down 51.2%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000110 sigma=0.001131 score=-0.4236 p_up=0.4880

Commitment hash
05eb053e8302aa254b5e9e82ea61ddd050a9d253ae1d9db6870a8a188d8ea957