Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T07:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 08:05 UTC
Open price
$1,673.46
Close price
$1,676.38

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1673.460000 and closed at 1676.380000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 13 · 07:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 07:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:00 ↑ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ — now 08:00 ↓ 08:15 ↓ 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 08:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T07:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 08:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
07:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.458 +4.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HqLlwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.13%
Down 47.87%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000205 sigma=0.001005 score=0.8900 p_up=0.5213

Commitment hash
751a6be42adc89204014235af3300fa1b6d7ba6766bd530ca42cc31359a35557
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
07:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.477 +2.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS5Bdwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.17%
Down 48.83%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8900 edge=0.0213 sigma_short=0.000832 sigma_long=0.001068 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5117

Commitment hash
69e59f7d988e8dc499aebad6740e1ebf3d904367c86c39f36024e12778a521c8
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
07:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.561 -6.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCZ8awkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.01%
Down 52.99%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1666.5435 sigma=2.3984 z=3.0214 p_up=0.4701

Commitment hash
94ce9637066e1c215dbf65158c65f81514f0385abf40ce1684919f9c96fb8bf7