Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T08:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 08:50 UTC
Open price
$1,675.31
Close price
$1,676.46

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1675.310000 and closed at 1676.460000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 08:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 08:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 08:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↓ 08:15 ↓ 08:30 ↑ — now 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↓ 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 08:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T08:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 08:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
08:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.447 +5.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHmnqDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.74%
Down 47.26%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000339 sigma=0.000952 score=1.5540 p_up=0.5274

Commitment hash
c5795eff8e8099d93b8133cbfa1f1f182c7da743758ed4eb71d87ead7c5fb235
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
08:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.470 +3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_PG178AgpDReXuA9RVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.51%
Down 48.49%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.5540 edge=0.0274 sigma_short=0.000952 sigma_long=0.001087 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5151

Commitment hash
1fd28e41a387aa700bdd1a6e77875c430134af953bf46a082362b797374de7a1
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
08:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh0E0V1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.11%
Down 52.89%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1667.6480 sigma=3.9390 z=1.9858 p_up=0.4711

Commitment hash
0590175f1c884a862adeeb4b180341a12a41a3c541d650e23b85d10cfa5f72c8