Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T09:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 09:35 UTC
Open price
$1,674.95
Close price
$1,673.76

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1674.950000 and closed at 1673.760000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 09:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 09:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↓ — now 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↓ 10:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T09:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 09:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:05:03
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.452 +4.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhBvZojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:05:03 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.53%
Down 52.47%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1669.2020 sigma=4.6172 z=1.1626 p_up=0.4753

Commitment hash
f5820c7124517cd53a1f3838bd2c0290055e00418b0193e92ddcf23597ced22c
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
09:05:03
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.530 -3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc4EBVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:05:03 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.46%
Down 48.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.4115 edge=0.0266 sigma_short=0.001046 sigma_long=0.001073 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5146

Commitment hash
2e243cd996337968c050472615043168b473e8270629a579e00cdd7a7249646e
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.555 -5.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CJGQDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.66%
Down 47.34%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000322 sigma=0.000994 score=1.4115 p_up=0.5266

Commitment hash
4b3310112546b4d185503d0591518f0aeb0a2d13935df9e29035dfcc29fa3beb