Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T10:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 10:35 UTC
Open price
$1,673.77
Close price
$1,673.57

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1673.770000 and closed at 1673.570000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.8
Opens
Jun 13 · 10:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 10:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 10:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↓ — now 10:30 ↑ 10:45 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↑ 11:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 10:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T10:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 10:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgTRM8w5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.38%
Down 51.62%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1670.9665 sigma=4.5229 z=0.6044 p_up=0.4838

Commitment hash
ba5df764a46454ad09ce52fda755dc22e8fe168532c078cff0cfec115be3066b
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
10:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.530 -3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HkRWD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.47%
Down 48.53%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.4315 edge=0.0268 sigma_short=0.000816 sigma_long=0.001036 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5147

Commitment hash
5fed4501619db25284b7cab52c8085fe9401f84c7e667ea1d9bbe282f363c392
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.555 -5.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_WzKkexj7we4xSxWZopr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.68%
Down 47.32%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000292 sigma=0.000890 score=1.4315 p_up=0.5268

Commitment hash
29b2b09bff3a770b551ee1decef2a70de3f492b6f5bc5b0b32339cf4adc7972a