Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T11:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 11:50 UTC
Open price
$1,678.43
Close price
$1,677.26

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1678.430000 and closed at 1677.260000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 11:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 11:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 11:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 10:45 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↑ 11:30 ↓ — now 11:45 ↑ 12:00 ↓ 12:15 ↓ 12:30 ↑ 12:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 11:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T11:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 11:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
11:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHkjzoy18Alen
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.4%
Down 52.6%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1673.5030 sigma=2.8333 z=1.3154 p_up=0.4740

Commitment hash
51028f7e1d25a98df466092cc13dc3f171ef981ed3dc91b7514e69e0a4d30a70
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
11:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.530 -3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgC1MrV4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.5%
Down 48.5%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.5117 edge=0.0272 sigma_short=0.000854 sigma_long=0.001060 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5150

Commitment hash
d77f41f566d320a1f2ee8038930a7f67c20bc30995f89a8d67d30fa21bdd3091
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
11:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.556 -5.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72Hk6WD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.72%
Down 47.28%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000329 sigma=0.000949 score=1.5117 p_up=0.5272

Commitment hash
f8fd0c9de4df505de1c39407204e70c775416b3ab8ee122b3074b9f486fe5cb4