Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T12:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 13:05 UTC
Open price
$1,678.32
Close price
$1,680.53

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1678.320000 and closed at 1680.530000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 13 · 12:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 12:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 13:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 12:00 ↓ 12:15 ↓ 12:30 ↑ 12:45 ↑ — now 13:00 ↓ 13:15 ↑ 13:30 ↓ 13:45 ↓ 14:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 13:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T12:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 13:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
12:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtlAJoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 12:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.6%
Down 48.4%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000112 sigma=0.000820 score=0.5959 p_up=0.5160

Commitment hash
d509b3f55fc7673d3dbcd22f3f8bcf7e92d79dd399ec4489c2593c1530da4f2f
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
12:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.483 +1.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCZnywkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 12:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.88%
Down 49.12%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.5959 edge=0.0160 sigma_short=0.000775 sigma_long=0.000941 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5088

Commitment hash
d1968914b95f6e198fd0c5690232fc729b1a9da213b989140e20524d0391a745
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
12:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.545 -4.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HqZbwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 12:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.8%
Down 52.2%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1675.5530 sigma=1.5829 z=0.9331 p_up=0.4780

Commitment hash
72a8496f0c01fc4bfcedc68332920a0b94ad775fbb07725aec740fd2a91c532d