Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T13:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 14:05 UTC
Open price
$1,679.68
Close price
$1,678.02

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1679.680000 and closed at 1678.020000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 13 · 13:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 13:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 14:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 13:00 ↓ 13:15 ↑ 13:30 ↓ 13:45 ↓ — now 14:00 ↑ 14:15 ↓ 14:30 ↑ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 14:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T13:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 14:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLialRwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.14%
Down 52.86%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1676.4775 sigma=2.2691 z=1.8785 p_up=0.4714

Commitment hash
613a3fadc983a51ba88d433e6324b1bedb8a79132ac342863d860f2edbf3db1a
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
13:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.521 -2.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtl6JoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.03%
Down 48.97%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.7338 edge=0.0188 sigma_short=0.000830 sigma_long=0.000866 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5103

Commitment hash
d115cd1021a02e14d377d4bb0fd690f8b2154ee13a9fee7407f4b9df7a113f1c
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.538 -3.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCy5QwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.88%
Down 48.12%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000134 sigma=0.000797 score=0.7338 p_up=0.5188

Commitment hash
406ff449a39b0d3f3e2cff19c502ae9773cb8a47153d7ae7cb931b70af76b593