Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T13:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 13:35 UTC
Open price
$1,679.53
Close price
$1,680.74

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1679.530000 and closed at 1680.740000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 13 · 13:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 13:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 13:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 12:30 ↑ 12:45 ↑ 13:00 ↓ 13:15 ↑ — now 13:30 ↓ 13:45 ↓ 14:00 ↑ 14:15 ↓ 14:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 13:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T13:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 13:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.458 +4.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhBNNojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.13%
Down 47.87%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000159 sigma=0.000779 score=0.8875 p_up=0.5213

Commitment hash
b7761ede9d624f529c3effd1970e7c2ebb686ba6f473c26e07ec93b3919dd8e0
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
13:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.477 +2.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ag9d6j7EwBNgsjxRwJAQ5kqR
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.17%
Down 48.83%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8875 edge=0.0213 sigma_short=0.000837 sigma_long=0.000919 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5117

Commitment hash
99e00083820720e791b7cf500ae0297073eeac050dcf4baa7831c1f110624d44
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.561 -6.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc4jPVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 13:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.05%
Down 52.95%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1676.0030 sigma=1.9153 z=2.3636 p_up=0.4705

Commitment hash
746c81cb52f3755fc04e1781ce5f46a8918845f7ad487a26e266ec9c6dfdae7f