Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T14:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 14:20 UTC
Open price
$1,678.02
Close price
$1,680.18

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1678.020000 and closed at 1680.180000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 13:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 14:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 14:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 13:15 ↑ 13:30 ↓ 13:45 ↓ 14:00 ↑ — now 14:15 ↓ 14:30 ↑ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 14:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T14:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 14:20:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4Trq3o7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.17%
Down 47.83%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000160 sigma=0.000763 score=0.9165 p_up=0.5217

Commitment hash
f468d3ddf1eac68247dc837847934168e06a6f67197927c7b89c5af9f7ad7501
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
13:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.476 +2.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2Wgu9ZXVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.19%
Down 48.81%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.9165 edge=0.0217 sigma_short=0.000728 sigma_long=0.000876 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5119

Commitment hash
5088c7982d37a122df47c726fc69fd785bd22fb39bead7d69127261423379599
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.553 -5.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZK5VRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.43%
Down 52.57%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1676.6385 sigma=2.3740 z=1.2812 p_up=0.4743

Commitment hash
8768ffaa9c9d15b6392993ed0adc2a65ce82ebd7e9d2b2734355e09ec2f1d86f