Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T12:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 12:50 UTC
Open price
$1,677.03
Close price
$1,678.31

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1677.030000 and closed at 1678.310000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 13 · 12:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 12:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 12:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 11:45 ↑ 12:00 ↓ 12:15 ↓ 12:30 ↑ — now 12:45 ↑ 13:00 ↓ 13:15 ↑ 13:30 ↓ 13:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 12:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T12:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 12:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
12:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.470 +3.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh013V1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 12:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.53%
Down 48.47%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000106 sigma=0.000822 score=0.5629 p_up=0.5153

Commitment hash
3103bd130e1fbfdd7fe75e7df85f34d173ecedbab1c6601266c3e4462b6e54b3
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
12:20:18
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.483 +1.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyxQwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 12:20:18 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.84%
Down 49.16%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.5629 edge=0.0153 sigma_short=0.000820 sigma_long=0.000975 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5084

Commitment hash
8633e86cc446d0b9372c0cf576fb0cffb4a7e6d8dd867bc4b77c605ae9d44d58
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
12:20:18
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAJBVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 12:20:18 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.58%
Down 52.42%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1675.3910 sigma=1.5892 z=1.1194 p_up=0.4758

Commitment hash
9686e3b55c1d3b067d2ee7aeb1dbc345c5c03594313f832dd56fb967ada48f82