Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T09:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 09:50 UTC
Open price
$1,673.77
Close price
$1,674.90

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1673.770000 and closed at 1674.900000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 09:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 09:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↓ 09:30 ↑ — now 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↓ 10:30 ↑ 10:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T09:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 09:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.450 +5.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcmAOVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.59%
Down 47.41%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000297 sigma=0.000990 score=1.3081 p_up=0.5259

Commitment hash
85f8e6d1e5680cb2dfbc1d04e3a643a5cd64e8fdef68817391ed1770a8b4707e
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
09:20:03
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.472 +2.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHmBqDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:20:03 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.43%
Down 48.57%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.3081 edge=0.0259 sigma_short=0.001045 sigma_long=0.001061 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5143

Commitment hash
d4bbad26d6340163c53683872d23aafac068f807d3831a9a01b65f35a293b579
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4ieydDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.57%
Down 52.43%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1669.7315 sigma=4.6388 z=1.1250 p_up=0.4757

Commitment hash
385219568603201773ce00bf042afb593c7b4108784b34279626482e0dfde9ca