Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T09:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 09:20 UTC
Open price
$1,674.57
Close price
$1,674.95

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1674.570000 and closed at 1674.950000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 08:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 09:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 09:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:15 ↓ 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑ — now 09:15 ↓ 09:30 ↑ 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 09:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T09:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 09:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
08:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.446 +5.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZNJVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.77%
Down 47.23%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000353 sigma=0.000957 score=1.6091 p_up=0.5277

Commitment hash
466d50dcee0044d0a99d564ea7fcdd1683b0878279cf603fd2d753e2b2e320da
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
08:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.470 +3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFXyQor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.52%
Down 48.48%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.6091 edge=0.0277 sigma_short=0.000922 sigma_long=0.001053 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5152

Commitment hash
ac00f4e606c6137a2d082423b89173c16da75e3cf5144faa867b393920fac672
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
08:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.558 -5.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2Wgu9pOVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.19%
Down 52.81%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1668.7360 sigma=4.5213 z=1.7084 p_up=0.4719

Commitment hash
737ae635f2410ac9ec9d44b85e9bfda1d8ac6fba4ae308249141dcbbf68bb56c