Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T06:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 06:35 UTC
Open price
$1,681.68
Close price
$1,679.30

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1681.680000 and closed at 1679.300000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 14 · 06:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 06:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 06:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 05:30 ↑ 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↑ 06:15 ↓ — now 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↓ 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 06:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T06:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 06:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
06:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFE6Ow5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.8%
Down 52.2%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000203 sigma=0.000942 score=-0.9384 p_up=0.4780

Commitment hash
f8dc7ac5109f896469cdcddbca471340e0338bee047db8b51dcd0137fbc09260
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
06:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.465 +3.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgs9nJVRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.24%
Down 51.76%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.9384 edge=-0.0220 sigma_short=0.001040 sigma_long=0.001406 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4824

Commitment hash
95f30c944366e5d76b66e51e5efd9192204007631a9e4ea6d54ecab8b3fa6ad4
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
06:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.549 -4.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01gimdEw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.37%
Down 47.63%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1681.3090 sigma=2.9610 z=-1.0736 p_up=0.5237

Commitment hash
b74f1be95785f37c0a5e0d338eec8dea680e3dec4fdedd67fda7ff70f0d4f571