Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T17:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 17:35 UTC
Open price
$1,664.75
Close price
$1,664.20

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1664.750000 and closed at 1664.200000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 14 · 17:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 17:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:30 ↓ 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↑ 17:15 ↓ — now 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T17:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 17:35:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
17:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.458 +4.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFbR7w5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.85%
Down 52.15%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000370 sigma=0.001791 score=-0.8997 p_up=0.4785

Commitment hash
87bc08f099cc7dbbaf32ab293e09f6c1d3031ca1e51bd12c43f955f3332404d0
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
17:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.485 +1.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgsYNkVRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.25%
Down 50.75%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.8997 edge=-0.0215 sigma_short=0.002251 sigma_long=0.001574 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4925

Commitment hash
07f4428013d98c3d9a46c0dda6691e1a340320de3d38b35c657a5d98f34b55d5
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
17:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.548 -4.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01girldw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.37%
Down 47.63%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1665.5575 sigma=3.9124 z=-1.0678 p_up=0.5237

Commitment hash
6320d891ece8015e6d1c3262023f92ac4518f49eea25e45403f5d10ef1d2398a