Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T17:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 17:50 UTC
Open price
$1,664.21
Close price
$1,664.37

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1664.210000 and closed at 1664.370000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 14 · 17:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 17:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 17:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↑ 17:15 ↓ 17:30 ↑ — now 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 17:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T17:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 17:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
17:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.493 +0.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j65YM2E8odpri4a5oPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.33%
Down 49.67%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1665.1405 sigma=3.5112 z=-0.1112 p_up=0.5033

Commitment hash
920d17682a4510462879dbf11a3bc4505c37402a10cc40ff5a549ccfdfba429d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
17:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.518 -1.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Gl39jP8konj6smdPoOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.11%
Down 50.89%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.6054 edge=-0.0162 sigma_short=0.001557 sigma_long=0.001607 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4911

Commitment hash
b216512d994a9b43acba3b997f6a99cd610696ccfe278bc4b1d1ca4b6c564ffc
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
17:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHqNAwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 17:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 17:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.38%
Down 51.62%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000260 sigma=0.001869 score=-0.6054 p_up=0.4838

Commitment hash
fa44b7723a5dc9ba9fe00860168169c782b74d61ee5380beadc48e93c99a97c7