Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T18:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 18:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 19:05 UTC
Open price
$1,660.88
Close price
$1,662.08

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1660.880000 and closed at 1662.080000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 14 · 18:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 18:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 19:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↑ — now 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↑ 19:30 ↓ 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 19:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T18:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 19:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
18:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.450 +5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GC6gNwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 18:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 18:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.59%
Down 47.41%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1663.6510 sigma=2.8454 z=-1.3042 p_up=0.5259

Commitment hash
c2a783c3354472fa7fa6a94c2627a1e0027e2d26732f3e6805e2e49c6d066cfc
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
18:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.519 -1.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLi2J6wy92enrk
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 18:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 18:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.08%
Down 50.92%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.6329 edge=-0.0168 sigma_short=0.001499 sigma_long=0.001569 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4908

Commitment hash
d5ace3c8d7316766098aaa4f3e151efe9deb9e1dce6fac365b57c0dc75dee61a
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
18:35:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.534 -3.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuW4jVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 18:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 18:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.32%
Down 51.68%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000257 sigma=0.001771 score=-0.6329 p_up=0.4832

Commitment hash
af4b1d88bd10acb01c793b0cabaebd25bda2afea90e6f1231fe1436ae46c4152