Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T19:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 19:35 UTC
Open price
$1,665.18
Close price
$1,666.34

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1665.180000 and closed at 1666.340000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 14 · 19:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 19:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 19:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↑ 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↑ — now 19:30 ↓ 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↑ 20:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 19:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T19:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 19:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
19:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.479 +2.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgsY9mVRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 19:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.08%
Down 48.92%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1663.0680 sigma=2.6216 z=-0.3769 p_up=0.5108

Commitment hash
d7901866927debf59f763a6417febd152f0e3cee57f88b1df3b5d22c3948be6e
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
19:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTQNmwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 19:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.46%
Down 50.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.3430 edge=-0.0099 sigma_short=0.001385 sigma_long=0.001577 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4946

Commitment hash
fa5d29fd7a3b03e82ba3eefaa92df41d0e43088b00321a866d5acaf5a06626c9
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
19:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.520 -2.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01girmmw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 19:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.01%
Down 50.99%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000140 sigma=0.001784 score=-0.3430 p_up=0.4901

Commitment hash
49546a79accc759ac3cafb1e02070e01fa60ac48a0acd0bac4ec1fb65d298417