Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T19:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 19:20 UTC
Open price
$1,662.07
Close price
$1,665.19

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1662.070000 and closed at 1665.190000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 14 · 18:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 19:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 19:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↑ 19:00 ↑ — now 19:15 ↑ 19:30 ↓ 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 19:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T19:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 19:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
18:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.458 +4.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4T2rPo7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 18:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.14%
Down 47.86%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1663.2910 sigma=2.7160 z=-0.8914 p_up=0.5214

Commitment hash
754f7c409c1754a1501e9fa10d4e3e7cc4c6b30b4e60e6012703bbcc93286277
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
18:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.514 -1.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTGZnVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 18:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.32%
Down 50.68%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.4410 edge=-0.0124 sigma_short=0.001423 sigma_long=0.001574 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4932

Commitment hash
1d02c8e15e61f13620999d468ff739932d8ca4a01002ea3ec9c56247a6c0cce5
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
18:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.525 -2.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHXglD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 18:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.76%
Down 51.24%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000179 sigma=0.001773 score=-0.4410 p_up=0.4876

Commitment hash
532f05a93386797bf6ea0ad2412dfa136868f3d181501446f66f2ff8e9d91525