Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T23:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 23:35 UTC
Open price
$1,724.43
Close price
$1,723.72

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1724.430000 and closed at 1723.720000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 14 · 23:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 23:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 23:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 22:30 ↑ 22:45 ↓ 23:00 ↑ 23:15 ↓ — now 23:30 ↓ 23:45 ↑ 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 23:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T23:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 23:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
23:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.447 +5.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcKJzVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 23:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.28%
Down 52.72%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1683.9795 sigma=25.6211 z=1.5082 p_up=0.4728

Commitment hash
09f34c574aa9c6ead318200382589fc1bcd3b729c2977dbbab89a79853d75526
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
23:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.520 -2.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iX3xDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 23:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.01%
Down 48.99%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.9398 edge=0.0288 sigma_short=0.005325 sigma_long=0.003315 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5101

Commitment hash
753866aeb94afc95cd3108d2d8d7f7ec13ad54d7aef9937595a4a8cbb13874ca
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
23:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EF8gmDWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 23:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 23:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.88%
Down 47.12%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001876 sigma=0.004216 score=1.9398 p_up=0.5288

Commitment hash
740ba797e5cd06577c16f1f2f2c41591c38a3433070c870fb722b17cd400995f