Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T09:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 09:35 UTC
Open price
$1,720.00
Close price
$1,721.82

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1720.000000 and closed at 1721.820000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 15 · 09:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 09:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↓ 09:15 ↑ — now 09:30 ↓ 09:45 ↑ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 10:30
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T09:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 09:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
09:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.489 +1.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GC6xywW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 09:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.56%
Down 49.44%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000054 sigma=0.001241 score=0.1892 p_up=0.5056

Commitment hash
58fd191d2e2509a328a3ac82d05111bf1a02f1a8220115c967168bc45d3f7f7b
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
09:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.491 +0.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cyR6DZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 09:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.45%
Down 49.55%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1892 edge=0.0056 sigma_short=0.001236 sigma_long=0.002067 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5045

Commitment hash
1abe9d6da00c225b4d1b252105aa6e1525c218e0766020d1e919ee7e3014d383
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
09:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.529 -2.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLi2jxwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 09:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.55%
Down 51.45%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.4685 sigma=1.6934 z=0.5265 p_up=0.4855

Commitment hash
7bedd17a1f7fafcf69da7dc7ea990f90fc9f694d3c890c07e15b31b72880712e