Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T09:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 09:50 UTC
Open price
$1,721.81
Close price
$1,715.73

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1721.810000 and closed at 1715.730000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 15 · 09:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 09:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↓ 09:15 ↑ 09:30 ↓ — now 09:45 ↑ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 10:30 10:45
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T09:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 09:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
09:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.484 +1.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j65YM2E8odpri4epoPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 09:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.21%
Down 50.79%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.5380 sigma=1.6848 z=0.2683 p_up=0.4921

Commitment hash
03a5d95a61a6288ade19de78e35c66232864b786226051a14db58f1fe7e759a5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
09:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.506 -0.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Gl39jP8konj6smpLoOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 09:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.3%
Down 49.7%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1246 edge=0.0037 sigma_short=0.001087 sigma_long=0.002060 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5030

Commitment hash
ed31638030b7ab0592de4b76c133fb10026e00b1653a225e222789c7b8f51cbf
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
09:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.507 -0.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHqQRwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 09:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.37%
Down 49.63%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000036 sigma=0.001243 score=0.1246 p_up=0.5037

Commitment hash
52d4443a0e25f2477bd0cc4d833825825e0301fb177feca8f678dd7ae1e7f584