Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T01:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 01:50 UTC
Open price
$1,795.80
Close price
$1,795.70

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1795.800000 and closed at 1795.700000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 16 · 01:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 01:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 01:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↑ 01:30 ↓ — now 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↓ 02:30 ↑ 02:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 01:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T01:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 01:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
01:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.450 +5.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5C1jbDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 01:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.42%
Down 52.58%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000859 sigma=0.002900 score=-1.2914 p_up=0.4742

Commitment hash
90204dd1f00dc75b1ed5c450e9482b69b8f7f5d50cfe06733ab934e0acf3fc77
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
01:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.460 +4.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc3d5VnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 01:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.94%
Down 52.06%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.2914 edge=-0.0258 sigma_short=0.002434 sigma_long=0.003351 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4794

Commitment hash
0f9357de6995adfeba918c2cf40d7f4b2c6c7f283c8011a86aaa4bd1f122468e
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
01:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.542 -4.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvh7ArojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 01:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.05%
Down 47.95%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1802.1390 sigma=12.0230 z=-0.8342 p_up=0.5205

Commitment hash
d479930f624e3ef8354cfb8ef11ebfdcd971f11781e343b7460c0ba81774a09f