Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T01:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 01:20 UTC
Open price
$1,789.59
Close price
$1,792.11

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1789.590000 and closed at 1792.110000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.8
Opens
Jun 16 · 00:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 01:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 01:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↑ — now 01:15 ↑ 01:30 ↓ 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 01:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T01:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 01:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
00:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.472 +2.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HYBLwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.44%
Down 48.56%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1805.3545 sigma=12.8455 z=-0.5227 p_up=0.5144

Commitment hash
3e72b67d9ff82d5716cdb0afa42304de2f1cacce9018e497cd17d2fdd69a381d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
00:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.527 -2.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCpBxwkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.69%
Down 51.31%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.0810 edge=-0.0238 sigma_short=0.003447 sigma_long=0.003268 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4869

Commitment hash
4519e4f2677d68409385326ad7aaf76a2f42a2ea70e8ef84ad8cebf081315d61
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
00:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.549 -4.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtX7aoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.62%
Down 52.38%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000676 sigma=0.002726 score=-1.0810 p_up=0.4762

Commitment hash
f3f0c3976473ffb3fceb349a90d316aa8f80a79dba4e7475b00b5064c5150fef