Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T00:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 00:35 UTC
Open price
$1,797.20
Close price
$1,792.62

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1797.200000 and closed at 1792.620000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 16 · 00:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 00:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 23:30 ↑ 23:45 ↑ 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ — now 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↑ 01:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T00:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 00:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
00:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4ASLvAwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.36%
Down 52.64%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.001057 sigma=0.003364 score=-1.3696 p_up=0.4736

Commitment hash
48d8490636e8d4bad3fef1017e649c42834e65c32e923d7da96e481347ef1fad
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
00:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.471 +2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHXA8D3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.55%
Down 51.45%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.3696 edge=-0.0264 sigma_short=0.003200 sigma_long=0.003220 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4855

Commitment hash
a98fa210a1cd9f0bd7b81f590fa34ca08df171db7740889c1c61c44c9eb5d8ae
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
00:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.546 -4.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNysen7w7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 00:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.24%
Down 47.76%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1809.9900 sigma=14.3344 z=-0.9669 p_up=0.5224

Commitment hash
d8b768f37818b5f1f50dda463750ba552a9a7f6244298db7b327c14bd474bb6c