Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T10:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 11:05 UTC
Open price
$1,796.78
Close price
$1,793.95

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1796.780000 and closed at 1793.950000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 16 · 10:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 10:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 10:00 ↓ 10:15 ↑ 10:30 ↓ 10:45 ↓ — now 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↓ 11:30 ↑ 11:45 ↑ 12:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T10:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 11:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
10:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.447 +5.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iaN8DEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 10:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.27%
Down 52.73%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1780.2505 sigma=12.7867 z=1.5242 p_up=0.4727

Commitment hash
356939ab8eb9b0caac2e264a6163dcebb813cc31015f0eafd288ff6097e59b43
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
10:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.520 -2.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHGRJDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 10:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.97%
Down 49.03%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.6253 edge=0.0278 sigma_short=0.003865 sigma_long=0.002935 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5097

Commitment hash
b1f2ef6eff5cd723753f2a8af4b65dff8cb4d7d14ce5b0e753b910ac10cce234
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
10:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcplKVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 10:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.78%
Down 47.22%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001087 sigma=0.002915 score=1.6253 p_up=0.5278

Commitment hash
d156d8b5e98fef78ad51bb7ec485d82296c2ec366c3630d6e7b64da6ce20e64a