Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T11:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 11:50 UTC
Open price
$1,793.45
Close price
$1,795.84

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1793.450000 and closed at 1795.840000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 16 · 11:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 11:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 11:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 10:45 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↓ 11:30 ↑ — now 11:45 ↑ 12:00 ↑ 12:15 ↑ 12:30 ↓ 12:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 11:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T11:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 11:50:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
11:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.452 +4.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFJRNor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.46%
Down 47.54%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000793 sigma=0.002999 score=1.1530 p_up=0.5246

Commitment hash
d957758f08c5861c5a48072f8ea9b00b8a1f3a8790af0efc5049f4bfcbc4ad16
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
11:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.483 +1.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CvW3DOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.86%
Down 49.14%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.1530 edge=0.0246 sigma_short=0.003943 sigma_long=0.002792 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5086

Commitment hash
a4818abc83443e99cc076af387676b816981cb9f0856108be8db6a243cab856b
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
11:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.543 -4.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCyZaw3qMl598
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 11:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.91%
Down 52.09%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1784.9870 sigma=11.5370 z=0.8618 p_up=0.4791

Commitment hash
0bfee9563c86b5caed66aa3d3a9debb655ce66723790fe8d0fc2f8aff262295b