Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T17:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 17:35 UTC
Open price
$1,780.01
Close price
$1,781.53

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1780.010000 and closed at 1781.530000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 16 · 17:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 17:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↑ 17:15 ↑ — now 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↑ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T17:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 17:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
17:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j65YM2E8odpridZMoPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.2%
Down 47.8%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1792.0120 sigma=15.0776 z=-0.9366 p_up=0.5220

Commitment hash
cdcdac2d31ee52652b884786bf55d5ef829d0997d14757546876c2a1d9c0a7e2
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
17:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.537 -3.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Gl39jP8konj6sRvJoOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.19%
Down 51.81%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.9803 edge=-0.0226 sigma_short=0.002204 sigma_long=0.003717 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4819

Commitment hash
cac205434a839b78744336edfc92149df3aa7111a1bd39e14186ea5df1327da6
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
17:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.546 -4.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHyjqwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.74%
Down 52.26%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000923 sigma=0.004104 score=-0.9803 p_up=0.4774

Commitment hash
50bf37e691c2f2f2b35d983f2b067db1d05f3c9ef988e1aed25e987747f9c179