Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T17:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 18:05 UTC
Open price
$1,784.46
Close price
$1,795.10

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1784.460000 and closed at 1795.100000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 16 · 17:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 17:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 18:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 17:00 ↑ 17:15 ↑ 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↑ — now 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↑ 19:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 18:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T17:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 18:05:03 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
17:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.471 +2.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HJnND9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.47%
Down 48.53%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1788.5775 sigma=13.0968 z=-0.5381 p_up=0.5147

Commitment hash
1f4424fae3b9d2c4fc6bc896a307acdfa31daf337c9dcab8db6bfdbbcc17ca6b
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
17:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.541 -4.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHg5Yoy18Alen
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.0%
Down 52.0%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.2054 edge=-0.0251 sigma_short=0.001809 sigma_long=0.003709 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4800

Commitment hash
0b88415efb46d28b89a3cd74b6409cb03f89b7b0133d84d1ce661b61f7f02add
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
17:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.551 -5.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgT9yaw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.49%
Down 52.51%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.001049 sigma=0.003792 score=-1.2054 p_up=0.4749

Commitment hash
f513a73bca2a920b7dc2cae41128989fed3f177663393ff0ff275235d46817ae