Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T22:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 22:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 22:50 UTC
Open price
$1,794.31
Close price
$1,792.31

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1794.310000 and closed at 1792.310000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 16 · 22:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 22:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 22:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 21:45 ↑ 22:00 ↑ 22:15 ↓ 22:30 ↓ — now 22:45 ↑ 23:00 ↓ 23:15 ↓ 23:30 ↓ 23:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 22:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T22:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 22:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
22:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.470 +3.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTdmJwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 22:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 22:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.46%
Down 51.54%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1795.2535 sigma=4.9361 z=0.5686 p_up=0.4846

Commitment hash
9216ac6a9a123d7e824a31a28a306181ece11a55be8ea22d89c67a4dadec0765
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
22:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.532 -3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCPNyoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 22:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 22:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.58%
Down 48.42%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.7875 edge=0.0197 sigma_short=0.002000 sigma_long=0.003462 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5158

Commitment hash
5f23ed6ccccfcb4311e483ed364afaf69826ad12b5b5b3a90c7fe353a5091380
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
22:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.540 -4.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgsmB1VRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 22:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 22:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.97%
Down 48.03%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000486 sigma=0.002691 score=0.7875 p_up=0.5197

Commitment hash
6dff6fe2d310ee10e1cea28b04969cb78a87fbb53f5e26447c0777d7f36af002