Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T00:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 01:05 UTC
Open price
$1,797.35
Close price
$1,794.22

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1797.350000 and closed at 1794.220000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 17 · 00:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 00:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↑ 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ — now 01:00 ↓ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T00:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 01:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
00:35:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.482 +1.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CvNBDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:35:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.11%
Down 50.89%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000115 sigma=0.001651 score=-0.3049 p_up=0.4911

Commitment hash
36e3d8221fda3ad3d4ff885ce0be64e38436c3dd1a0fe8b3448b6773530e8bc8
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
00:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.486 +1.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc7yWVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.29%
Down 50.71%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.3049 edge=-0.0089 sigma_short=0.001121 sigma_long=0.002248 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4929

Commitment hash
1d6d7e0a4837047392677e82eb153861018edd4a32d9c02c5c8d5f092bde16f1
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
00:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.530 -3.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhmdPojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.48%
Down 48.52%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1795.2980 sigma=2.2311 z=-0.5414 p_up=0.5148

Commitment hash
78993c5e7c3945d7321fe1c7f07c99a00531d8aa4870f77b13557f0e8e70131b