Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T01:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 01:35 UTC
Open price
$1,794.15
Close price
$1,785.79

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1794.150000 and closed at 1785.790000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 17 · 01:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 01:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 01:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↓ 01:15 ↓ — now 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↑ 02:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 01:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T01:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 01:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
01:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.499 +0.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHgmyoy18Alen
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 01:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.93%
Down 50.07%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000010 sigma=0.001717 score=-0.0246 p_up=0.4993

Commitment hash
6a2d96352e139e020d7b160581f65cacd78d4834b89733c2a9cf26b9853ae1b5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
01:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.499 +0.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFjPGw5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 01:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.94%
Down 50.06%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.0246 edge=-0.0007 sigma_short=0.001182 sigma_long=0.002189 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4994

Commitment hash
6fc9179e76a1f72f2960e2e0b7475faa14c4747b9dc325f58d3e0e836efabf59
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
01:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.525 -2.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgCxp2V4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 01:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 01:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.26%
Down 48.74%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1795.2045 sigma=2.2054 z=-0.4464 p_up=0.5126

Commitment hash
2effb3916dce84ccea8cd77bcc8157a38b418168001e2e7082fd1f4202f8a078