Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T02:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 02:50 UTC
Open price
$1,805.68
Close price
$1,794.60

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1805.680000 and closed at 1794.600000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 17 · 02:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 02:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 02:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↑ 02:30 ↓ — now 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↓ 03:30 ↑ 03:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 02:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T02:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 02:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
02:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.452 +4.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgT9mYw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 02:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.53%
Down 52.47%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1794.5120 sigma=2.7432 z=1.1621 p_up=0.4753

Commitment hash
5736c4141954a8289295a141aa58f819fc707efb3b9f658ef4d92dbe67008b8b
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
02:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.508 -0.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HJeKD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 02:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.4%
Down 49.6%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2498 edge=0.0073 sigma_short=0.002261 sigma_long=0.002268 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5040

Commitment hash
3d854993ff224b54d8fe514f445cb01fccc10e90cd0e14d2f52e8570dd052da8
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
02:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.515 -1.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_WzKkexj7we4xS9bpopr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 02:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.73%
Down 49.27%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000106 sigma=0.001846 score=0.2498 p_up=0.5073

Commitment hash
37ca4285a915839af55d13bf4213ba2726eef08ecfb6a097ef2a7dfd13a9e5e7