Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T03:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 03:35 UTC
Open price
$1,791.31
Close price
$1,790.94

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1791.310000 and closed at 1790.940000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 17 · 03:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 03:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 03:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↓ — now 03:30 ↑ 03:45 ↑ 04:00 ↑ 04:15 ↑ 04:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 03:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T03:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 03:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
03:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.491 +0.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_Gl39jP8konj6sRPpoOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 03:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.55%
Down 50.45%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1795.0320 sigma=3.6514 z=0.1528 p_up=0.4955

Commitment hash
5f25dc5e8a4c505f4a8b7cf18b021e6415613edfc63f6cd103a9e0fc2c95fa4a
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
03:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.493 +0.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_j65YM2E8odpridj8oPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 03:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.63%
Down 50.37%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000072 sigma=0.002522 score=-0.1250 p_up=0.4963

Commitment hash
7fb4afa9eaa682220846ea1b4287b1300f24bd829a0b31bea8e3cb0878b1c1e6
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
03:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.497 +0.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EFOQLDWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 03:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.87%
Down 50.13%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.1250 edge=-0.0037 sigma_short=0.003300 sigma_long=0.002563 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4987

Commitment hash
4044cf12b1ce52ab024f89b552a397f3b164502120ffdb155a4bab9dd9019b72