Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-17T03:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 17 · 03:50 UTC
Open price
$1,790.94
Close price
$1,793.33

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1790.940000 and closed at 1793.330000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 17 · 03:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 17 · 03:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 17 · 03:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↓ 03:30 ↑ — now 03:45 ↑ 04:00 ↑ 04:15 ↑ 04:30 ↑ 04:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-17 03:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-17T03:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 17 · 03:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
03:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_0MeQn9qmwgznCO1doYl4kr65
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 03:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.18%
Down 47.82%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1794.6945 sigma=3.6679 z=-0.9227 p_up=0.5218

Commitment hash
b0969376695641baa7809928eff8cf3da8b59b69738985d7f12aa7e1db851775
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 17
03:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.503 -0.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_WzKkexj7we4xS92popr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 03:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.84%
Down 50.16%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.1514 edge=-0.0045 sigma_short=0.003320 sigma_long=0.002591 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4984

Commitment hash
e4dc67197a8b1ce5e28036b936818aeaf86cbba0ee80f52f7c53481b13bdb47d
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 17
03:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.509 -0.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_g7xznkbOwq29cdNEVmELRlWQ
Submitted Jun 17, 2026 · 03:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-17 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.55%
Down 50.45%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000088 sigma=0.002536 score=-0.1514 p_up=0.4955

Commitment hash
716c6d6f7e920a332df6d42375d2897d30c04ff1b58fa0e276eaf0e506bd7b90