Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:1h:2026-06-14T01:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 01:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 02:05 UTC
Open price
$1,681.90
Close price
$1,683.99

Binance ETHUSDT 1h candle opened at 1681.900000 and closed at 1683.990000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 14 · 00:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 01:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Series 22:00 ↓ 23:00 ↓ 00:00 ↑ 01:00 ↑ — now 02:00 ↓ 03:00 ↓ 04:00 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 06:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 02:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
00:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.455 +4.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SnpnolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 00:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.31%
Down 47.69%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000524 sigma=0.002244 score=1.0189 p_up=0.5231

Commitment hash
4c6caa3eaa28ebf7f0648c44b3a1543fefbcb4c4fdf6df7f6d3bce6e0be236ad
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
00:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.464 +3.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_j65YM2E8odpriGvloPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 00:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.85%
Down 48.15%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.0189 edge=0.0231 sigma_short=0.002561 sigma_long=0.004579 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5185

Commitment hash
986affa1fcb9bbe8838acae41f072e27ba9d815ec31afbe6bf1b727d793c3643
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
00:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.543 -4.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHL2ywrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 00:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.89%
Down 52.11%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1676.5460 sigma=5.2880 z=0.8763 p_up=0.4789

Commitment hash
5137b45cd1118037083fe94de626fa86cdf6e7f0ecf731bfb14374b18d812075