Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:1h:2026-06-14T02:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 03:05 UTC
Open price
$1,683.98
Close price
$1,682.47

Binance ETHUSDT 1h candle opened at 1683.980000 and closed at 1682.470000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 14 · 01:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 02:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 03:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Series 23:00 ↓ 00:00 ↑ 01:00 ↑ 02:00 ↓ — now 03:00 ↓ 04:00 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 06:00 ↓ 07:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 03:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-14T02:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 03:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
01:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.456 +4.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcmgxVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.75%
Down 52.25%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1677.4160 sigma=4.6262 z=0.9714 p_up=0.4775

Commitment hash
f05d0cc0e5b614ad3f4ac212422b6e0f02ec9a77739dd64e6dae5b364516098e
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
01:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.538 -3.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4ie04DEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.85%
Down 48.15%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.0197 edge=0.0231 sigma_short=0.002542 sigma_long=0.004458 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5185

Commitment hash
f0d9c56bd59b9464e8570b65ed9542163aba1412c812caaec1d2a7e83769dc86
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
01:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.547 -4.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EFK21DWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.31%
Down 47.69%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000525 sigma=0.002244 score=1.0197 p_up=0.5231

Commitment hash
30ac9c1223dc86b99cfed7829959fe33f39fd22c9afb388fa3eb525fc0adf86d