Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:1h:2026-06-15T03:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 03:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 04:05 UTC
Open price
$1,716.78
Close price
$1,720.78

Binance ETHUSDT 1h candle opened at 1716.780000 and closed at 1720.780000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 15 · 02:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 03:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 04:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Series 00:00 ↓ 01:00 ↓ 02:00 ↑ 03:00 ↑ — now 04:00 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 06:00 ↓ 07:00 ↓ 08:00 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 04:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-15T03:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 04:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
02:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.461 +3.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngH577VlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 02:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 03:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.97%
Down 48.03%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001223 sigma=0.006766 score=0.7876 p_up=0.5197

Commitment hash
26402ad2af816db97cce2b5a0cf459ef4d152dab2b60516707e472f6f9cf0d61
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
02:35:03
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.486 +1.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SYaGolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 02:35:03 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 03:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.69%
Down 49.31%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.7876 edge=0.0197 sigma_short=0.008660 sigma_long=0.004919 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5069

Commitment hash
dd25a39bf7810936888c4aa960aee01b16735276088a4bc29a21869a9d155b64
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
02:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.555 -5.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cyYMDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 02:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 03:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.3%
Down 52.7%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1681.7185 sigma=23.1999 z=1.4686 p_up=0.4730

Commitment hash
742e11363fadd4f72936550ca1010c0cc0425b6575af27fca68a870c9633bd58