Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T00:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 01:05 UTC
Open price
$65,555.49
Close price
$65,625.99

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65555.490000 and closed at 65625.990000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 15 · 00:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 00:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↓ 00:45 ↑ — now 01:00 ↓ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T00:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 01:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
00:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.443 +5.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLi2bWwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:35:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.94%
Down 47.06%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001625 sigma=0.003067 score=2.3092 p_up=0.5294

Commitment hash
a4210c62eaf4b84a927e6a3af0a96a207989fd102b04a48ed5a24f2ce63459b9
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
00:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_40Q536YODN09HYJQwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.62%
Down 48.38%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=2.3092 edge=0.0294 sigma_short=0.002185 sigma_long=0.002499 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5162

Commitment hash
5ae6f8b3ff650845c664c4995008aea4610d58112810bd06e92d3589ab5024dd
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
00:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.549 -4.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtX2roXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.6%
Down 52.4%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64913.1350 sigma=767.9775 z=1.1027 p_up=0.4760

Commitment hash
3f9bba3a1732a08cbe0f4dfbdf7cc8e028489ad67f9126de5b425314cde388a5