Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T01:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 01:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 01:35 UTC
Open price
$65,511.28
Close price
$65,400.01

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65511.280000 and closed at 65400.010000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.8
Opens
Jun 15 · 01:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 01:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 01:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:30 ↓ 00:45 ↑ 01:00 ↓ 01:15 ↓ — now 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↑ 02:15 ↓ 02:30 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 01:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T01:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 01:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
01:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.462 +3.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvh7gOojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 01:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 01:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.06%
Down 51.94%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65094.0610 sigma=689.1924 z=0.7718 p_up=0.4806

Commitment hash
af123e3a924718d0959b8be2622dda23c840be73ab9a5de9a4ad16c0b1078964
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
01:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.532 -3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc3yxVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 01:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 01:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.59%
Down 48.41%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.9871 edge=0.0289 sigma_short=0.002211 sigma_long=0.002487 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5159

Commitment hash
2993fd46a61cdcd2d02bf772e7dae7cef6ef2da754bf600c228ab652ee43575d
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
01:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5C1AxDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 01:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 01:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.89%
Down 47.11%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001472 sigma=0.003229 score=1.9871 p_up=0.5289

Commitment hash
02bd69f9fe62029189b4e720ce6c5a9d7e33d3f8a974cc4cb7c0be198ba8332a