Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T02:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 02:35 UTC
Open price
$65,654.89
Close price
$65,639.30

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65654.890000 and closed at 65639.300000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+1.1
Opens
Jun 15 · 02:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 02:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 02:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↑ 02:15 ↓ — now 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↓ 03:00 ↑ 03:15 ↓ 03:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 02:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T02:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 02:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
02:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.483 +1.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgTO0Kw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 02:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.15%
Down 50.85%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65412.1100 sigma=389.7104 z=0.2897 p_up=0.4915

Commitment hash
874b1237fa4d3fa686e9d522d1499ada3e2db7427aff608baa3698137d95ed63
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
02:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.530 -3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HpldD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 02:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.46%
Down 48.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.4065 edge=0.0266 sigma_short=0.002591 sigma_long=0.002666 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5146

Commitment hash
15a708006edfd8df95aeead121a59964c20319ff924d4d0b470feb841d60b3d3
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
02:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.555 -5.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_WzKkexj7we4xSGJQopr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 02:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.66%
Down 47.34%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001154 sigma=0.003577 score=1.4065 p_up=0.5266

Commitment hash
0e01cc3e87e438685b20339223c3e15c615a1ae0e9bc9bf18e25bb0bcc590c96