Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T15:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 15:20 UTC
Open price
$66,591.54
Close price
$66,625.29

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 66591.540000 and closed at 66625.290000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.8
Opens
Jun 15 · 14:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 15:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 15:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 14:15 ↑ 14:30 ↓ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ — now 15:15 ↑ 15:30 ↑ 15:45 ↑ 16:00 ↓ 16:15
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 15:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T15:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 15:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
14:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.446 +5.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4T2y4o7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 14:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.79%
Down 47.21%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000748 sigma=0.001959 score=1.6649 p_up=0.5279

Commitment hash
0ed04a797aa52a607e30a9d875993e26f04de66d2788657002d90664a424b708
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
14:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.470 +3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2WguL7ZVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 14:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.54%
Down 48.46%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.6649 edge=0.0279 sigma_short=0.002082 sigma_long=0.001736 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5154

Commitment hash
704ed6cddbf5ebd5dcf41c7e1186166b745ecd5418b4d2fab837f5819397c9d1
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
14:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.542 -4.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTGX1VRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 14:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.96%
Down 52.04%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=66246.9875 sigma=347.7889 z=0.8313 p_up=0.4796

Commitment hash
d96aa08b5def0a007f65e23b9c0b8efab3afb75df4a0259f215d6adda8e1d427