Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-13T01:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 02:05 UTC
Open price
$63,600.01
Close price
$63,837.89

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 63600.010000 and closed at 63837.890000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 13 · 00:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 01:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 22:00 ↑ 23:00 ↑ 00:00 ↑ 01:00 ↑ — now 02:00 ↓ 03:00 ↓ 04:00 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 06:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-13T01:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 02:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
00:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.503 -0.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhBl4ojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.85%
Down 50.15%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.0937 edge=-0.0028 sigma_short=0.004917 sigma_long=0.004516 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4985

Commitment hash
3358659e1f81ee325598afa346887c197a0958564f039a8325f5e4059eda4e8b
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.504 -0.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CJ62DOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.8%
Down 50.2%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63562.6515 sigma=259.0597 z=0.0670 p_up=0.4980

Commitment hash
94f4a1195812482a065aed5968f9d7b1b9102242c6ee17c529c554fdc50b015f
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.506 -0.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCeyGw3qMl598
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.72%
Down 50.28%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000099 sigma=0.004616 score=-0.0937 p_up=0.4972

Commitment hash
adcc4f3c1f0c9ec1567f51a8b1c0655d5fb86575eaffc0d6fc5b67ba592f1376