Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T01:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 01:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 01:50 UTC
Open price
$1,663.14
Close price
$1,664.79

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1663.140000 and closed at 1664.790000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.8
Opens
Jun 12 · 01:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 01:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 01:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↓ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ — now 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↑ 02:15 ↓ 02:30 ↑ 02:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 01:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T01:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 01:50:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
01:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.447 +5.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4Tx5po7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 01:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.73%
Down 47.27%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1675.0125 sigma=3.7525 z=-1.5250 p_up=0.5273

Commitment hash
481f92e746c8534778d9e10b13945b12c595403fb36eb2d6a6db7dde8cf9b0e3
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
01:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.504 -0.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTgM3VRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 01:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.8%
Down 50.2%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.0832 edge=-0.0025 sigma_short=0.001899 sigma_long=0.003746 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4980

Commitment hash
3cb90569ade7025ecfd994954b8b9de2695d83f411c1d47c3340e3ce271e6c67
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
01:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.505 -0.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJH6ZjD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 01:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 01:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.75%
Down 50.25%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000043 sigma=0.002228 score=-0.0832 p_up=0.4975

Commitment hash
176fd975a67f1f8941a3c4bbf770c0886970916cf85917159e991a438abbdd74