Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T03:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 03:35 UTC
Open price
$1,674.01
Close price
$1,671.64

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1674.010000 and closed at 1671.640000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 12 · 03:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 03:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 03:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 02:30 ↑ 02:45 ↓ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↓ — now 03:30 ↑ 03:45 ↑ 04:00 ↓ 04:15 ↑ 04:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 03:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T03:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 03:35:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
03:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.473 +2.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BlAyv3kzDQm0tj28DWqReg9n
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 03:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.61%
Down 51.39%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1673.3860 sigma=4.3943 z=0.5016 p_up=0.4861

Commitment hash
e0b392dd733ca5dbbbd8c5638cb3c0d0314a4a17682f141ee7501eebbfb78b08
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
03:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.481 +1.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7irlRoE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 03:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.03%
Down 50.97%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000170 sigma=0.002222 score=-0.3340 p_up=0.4903

Commitment hash
a5c88c8b63e359940a1e592d6013e7a36bd3a9663ad5ee96d4b9f54db10172ef
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
03:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.485 +1.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZdYR0198o8ngHbLzVlXveKJ6
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 03:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.23%
Down 50.77%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.3340 edge=-0.0097 sigma_short=0.002420 sigma_long=0.003796 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4923

Commitment hash
c12df1dc3dcaebd188a715e3e7c4082a9f314f79e94eddbe8642c4ce16aacd9d