Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T03:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 03:50 UTC
Open price
$1,671.64
Close price
$1,671.87

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1671.640000 and closed at 1671.870000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 12 · 03:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 03:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 03:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 02:45 ↓ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↓ 03:30 ↑ — now 03:45 ↑ 04:00 ↓ 04:15 ↑ 04:30 ↑ 04:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 03:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T03:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 03:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
03:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_j65YM2E8odpriZvLoPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 03:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.44%
Down 50.56%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2384 edge=-0.0070 sigma_short=0.002421 sigma_long=0.003785 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4944

Commitment hash
5b3e30cf9ead250ffa4f1fddc4c0be1ae17fe138a3866ce6c50a91534b949df7
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
03:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.514 -1.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SxpJolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 03:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.3%
Down 50.7%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000120 sigma=0.002193 score=-0.2384 p_up=0.4930

Commitment hash
c930008bb5769f78c90ea677fb3073b902d56fd6f56d4d1bf68ac621254711bb
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
03:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.514 -1.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHj2pwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 03:20:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.28%
Down 50.72%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1673.0360 sigma=4.0365 z=0.2438 p_up=0.4928

Commitment hash
934e6a9902f61ad144fb185d2c83ab34520f2a7c490fe103066d819b34cc0192