Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T14:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 14:35 UTC
Open price
$1,666.35
Close price
$1,670.55

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1666.350000 and closed at 1670.550000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 12 · 14:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 14:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 14:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 13:30 ↓ 13:45 ↑ 14:00 ↑ 14:15 ↑ — now 14:30 ↓ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↓ 15:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 14:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T14:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 14:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
14:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgs931VRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 14:05:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.91%
Down 47.09%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1672.0380 sigma=6.9177 z=-2.0871 p_up=0.5291

Commitment hash
e73a87b5a4e765d33d39079bf5291d8a6aafbac5057c2cad3ccd1f92f10d9a04
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
14:05:26
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.529 -2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTNLJwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 14:05:26 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.57%
Down 51.43%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.3161 edge=-0.0260 sigma_short=0.001729 sigma_long=0.002170 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4857

Commitment hash
2b9acdb3417d10269549410ed7af08f91d8d6da1496f6ff0165ccf8e845b7e51
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
14:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.553 -5.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01gim5Bw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 14:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.4%
Down 52.6%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000562 sigma=0.001861 score=-1.3161 p_up=0.4740

Commitment hash
47e881810c607452af5854ffe84d35e6c76f93753d6363ce5ceb1b25a76369f2