Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T15:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 15:20 UTC
Open price
$1,685.65
Close price
$1,690.10

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1685.650000 and closed at 1690.100000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 12 · 14:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 15:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 15:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 14:15 ↑ 14:30 ↓ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ — now 15:15 ↓ 15:30 ↓ 15:45 ↓ 16:00 ↑ 16:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 15:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T15:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 15:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
14:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.485 +1.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAp4VeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 14:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.76%
Down 49.24%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1670.4320 sigma=6.1925 z=-0.2587 p_up=0.5076

Commitment hash
e1bcb1842671dc629f91772c87f1c15b42e878b90773c4d57ac3f1ed9267fdc0
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
14:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.520 -2.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyR6wW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 14:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.0%
Down 51.0%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.7017 edge=-0.0182 sigma_short=0.002703 sigma_long=0.002259 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4900

Commitment hash
c9b8c2424812afdede93728bf9e905d99afdce36baa53912086e6efb2d2c15ce
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
14:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.537 -3.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh02GV1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 14:50:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.18%
Down 51.82%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000356 sigma=0.002212 score=-0.7017 p_up=0.4818

Commitment hash
2404385ccb8f68f16753474d25f702e4b509867a13c0f66704e7082873cab08f